I'm startled

[Sadre Spinegnawer]

It looks quite possible, Trump will beat Hillary. The most recent polls point that way, and it is not subtle.

So we ok with a President Trump? I'm mainly concerned with his policies toward Puerto Rico, but there is like zero comments from him on that.

[Pokesan]

President Trump would be supremely funny and not that much worse than President Clinton, which would not be very funny(political royalty).

Let's do it.

[JurisDictum]

I get my polls from RealClearPolitics.com

A right-leaning site they gives a sample of the days news and collects all the poll information. A lot of political science professors use it to keep track of the media story.

Anyway this is the polling for Clinton v Trump:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Empirically, Clinton is the likely President.

[Pokesan]

I get my polls from RealClearPolitics.com

A right-leaning site they gives a sample of the days news and collects all the poll information. A lot of political science professors use it to keep track of the media story.

Anyway this is the polling for Clinton v Trump:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Empirically, Clinton is the likely President.

We're six months out, dial it back.

[JurisDictum]

We're six months out, dial it back.

Yea...but its not as random as you might think. Most the of the data people thought Mitt Romney would win for example. This is because most voters that aren't decided vote something like this:

How is the economy? Good? Vote for the Party currently in office

or

How is the economy? Bad? Vote for the party not in office

Its called something like retrospective voting

But to your point. Mitt lost to Obama -- despite his crap first debate and all the numbers being against him. This is purely due to him being a really shitty candidate for the time. It was just obvious the guy spent his life wearing suits in his mansion and resented people asking for tax hikes. It didn't play well.

So it's possible that Clinton is just too much of an insider pick for 2016, i.e. she could turn out to be a real shitty candidate for the time. My guess is Trump will provide enough incentive for the democratic turn out.

[Lictor]

Clinton has all the black votes bc she is giving away the most free shit. Pretty obvious she is going to win.

[Nihilist_santa]

Going to put on my tin-foil hat and say Trump wins but is killed in office. Race war follows.

[Swish]

Clinton has all the black votes bc she is giving away the most free shit. Pretty obvious she is going to win.

http://i.imgur.com/6dOIogD.gif

[Spyder73]

Blitzers will be rolling in his grave (suicide when he realized Trump wins)

[Pokesan]

Clinton has all the black votes bc she is giving away the most free shit. Pretty obvious she is going to win.

not just racist, also false

nicely done