Legday
04-22-2019, 01:46 PM
Not exactly a death "pool" because I'm just looking at a singular episode, which promises to be pretty bloody, and setting odds on who won't make it out alive.
I'm only listing the characters associated with the impending battle at Winterfell.
Here are the odds, in order from most likely to die in S8E3 to the least likely...
Theon (-300): I don't know how Theon doesn't die in the battle. His whole arc is begging to be written into him giving his life to save Bran or any other Stark.
Greyworm (-200): They were clearly setting this up in Episode 2.
Khal ? (-180): Not sure if he even is a Khal anymore, but I'm talking about the leader of the Dothraki that they keep showing in the background. A lot of these characters are going to die and he seems very expendable.
The Night King (-140): More of a long term bet, but I don't see the dead winning the fight and the final 3 episodes of GoT being the Night King/undead army vs. Cersei. It would abruptly end a lot of interesting story lines. The Starks/Targaryans are going to fight Cersei before it is all over.
Ice Dragon (-140): Same odds as the Night King for obvious reasons.
Either/Both of Dany's Dragons (-130): Dragons are going to fight each other and I don't think any further explanation is needed. If anything I would say 1 dies and 1 lives.
Tormund (EVEN): Who f*cking knows. I hope he lives.
Jamie (+120): Fighting and dying for the Starks and Targaryens would complete his arc. Also seems set up that there will be a Brienne involved battlefield farewell/thank you scene.
Jorah (+150): You know he's going to be near the front line swinging that big mfing sword.
Tyrion (+160): Tyrion is going to have a big strategic part in however the battle is won, but Bronn is also potentially coming to assassinate him.
Daenerys (+200): This would clear the table for Jon/Aegon. She is also going to be in the crypts with a bunch of dead bodies…
Davos (+220): A lot of talk last episode about him continuously surviving fights he shouldn't survive.
Jon Snow/Aegon Targaryon (+250): I don't see this happening. Ned, Robb, and Caitlyn Stark were major protagonists but Jon/Aegon is, in my opinion, "too big to fail".
Bran (+250): The Night King is coming for him, but there hasn't been any set up from Bran on needing to find a new 3 eyed raven, and that seems like the MO for the 3ER. Still slightly higher on this list because he is going to be a guy in a wheelchair in a fight to the death.
Podrick (+280): I have a feeling he lives but he is going to be in the thick of it.
Gendry (+300): They've been keeping this guy around for a reason, and him being the half son of an illegitimate king isn't it. It could have been for everybody's favorite S8E2 scene, but I don't think that was it either.
Arya (+300): Good odds that she is out there killing white walker(s) which will be tough to surive, but her arc needs to end with her killing more of her list. Calling it now: The Mountain kills the The Hound in the Clegane Bowl and Arya avenges him by killing the Mountain. This checks a lot of boxes.
Brienne (+300): Similar to Jorah, but I have a feeling she is the one that survives if it is between her and Jamie.
Lady Moormont (+350): They've already killed Shireen so I guess it is possible, but this seems set up for her to fight and survive.
The Hound (+500): Gotta make it to the Clegane Bowl.
Samwell (+500): He'll be Grand Maester when Jon takes the throne.
Sansa (+700): ...and she'll be the Lady of Winterfell (Warden of the North?) when Jon takes the throne.
Ghost (+800): Don't f*cking do this to us. Just...don't.
Varys (+1000): I can't picture a scene where he dies.
Gilly (+1000): The way they have her now as a polished lady helping the masses seems like her arc ends quietly as Sam's wife and little Sam's mother in King's Landing.
Missandei (+1000): When Greyworm is dead at the end of the battle they will need Missandei for the obligatory mourning scene
I'm only listing the characters associated with the impending battle at Winterfell.
Here are the odds, in order from most likely to die in S8E3 to the least likely...
Theon (-300): I don't know how Theon doesn't die in the battle. His whole arc is begging to be written into him giving his life to save Bran or any other Stark.
Greyworm (-200): They were clearly setting this up in Episode 2.
Khal ? (-180): Not sure if he even is a Khal anymore, but I'm talking about the leader of the Dothraki that they keep showing in the background. A lot of these characters are going to die and he seems very expendable.
The Night King (-140): More of a long term bet, but I don't see the dead winning the fight and the final 3 episodes of GoT being the Night King/undead army vs. Cersei. It would abruptly end a lot of interesting story lines. The Starks/Targaryans are going to fight Cersei before it is all over.
Ice Dragon (-140): Same odds as the Night King for obvious reasons.
Either/Both of Dany's Dragons (-130): Dragons are going to fight each other and I don't think any further explanation is needed. If anything I would say 1 dies and 1 lives.
Tormund (EVEN): Who f*cking knows. I hope he lives.
Jamie (+120): Fighting and dying for the Starks and Targaryens would complete his arc. Also seems set up that there will be a Brienne involved battlefield farewell/thank you scene.
Jorah (+150): You know he's going to be near the front line swinging that big mfing sword.
Tyrion (+160): Tyrion is going to have a big strategic part in however the battle is won, but Bronn is also potentially coming to assassinate him.
Daenerys (+200): This would clear the table for Jon/Aegon. She is also going to be in the crypts with a bunch of dead bodies…
Davos (+220): A lot of talk last episode about him continuously surviving fights he shouldn't survive.
Jon Snow/Aegon Targaryon (+250): I don't see this happening. Ned, Robb, and Caitlyn Stark were major protagonists but Jon/Aegon is, in my opinion, "too big to fail".
Bran (+250): The Night King is coming for him, but there hasn't been any set up from Bran on needing to find a new 3 eyed raven, and that seems like the MO for the 3ER. Still slightly higher on this list because he is going to be a guy in a wheelchair in a fight to the death.
Podrick (+280): I have a feeling he lives but he is going to be in the thick of it.
Gendry (+300): They've been keeping this guy around for a reason, and him being the half son of an illegitimate king isn't it. It could have been for everybody's favorite S8E2 scene, but I don't think that was it either.
Arya (+300): Good odds that she is out there killing white walker(s) which will be tough to surive, but her arc needs to end with her killing more of her list. Calling it now: The Mountain kills the The Hound in the Clegane Bowl and Arya avenges him by killing the Mountain. This checks a lot of boxes.
Brienne (+300): Similar to Jorah, but I have a feeling she is the one that survives if it is between her and Jamie.
Lady Moormont (+350): They've already killed Shireen so I guess it is possible, but this seems set up for her to fight and survive.
The Hound (+500): Gotta make it to the Clegane Bowl.
Samwell (+500): He'll be Grand Maester when Jon takes the throne.
Sansa (+700): ...and she'll be the Lady of Winterfell (Warden of the North?) when Jon takes the throne.
Ghost (+800): Don't f*cking do this to us. Just...don't.
Varys (+1000): I can't picture a scene where he dies.
Gilly (+1000): The way they have her now as a polished lady helping the masses seems like her arc ends quietly as Sam's wife and little Sam's mother in King's Landing.
Missandei (+1000): When Greyworm is dead at the end of the battle they will need Missandei for the obligatory mourning scene