| cd288 |
03-03-2021 02:04 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jibartik
(Post 3268490)
There is almost a 1:1 consistency for the spanish flue and covid.
https://i.imgur.com/pvjXQzl.png
It will be gone soon, but they had a flareup, for the same reason we're going to, people were ready to go out but the virus wasnt ready to go away.
Then shortly after, the virus went away "unexpectedly" and since then, there are only theories as to why it went away, the most agree'd upon one is that it just didnt mutate fast enough to be a forever virus.
We'll be done in 6-8 months for good.
Maybe the vaccination will stop that, maybe not! they didnt have vaccines by now for SF!
Either way, covid is going bye bye now, and will be gone soon!
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We’re likely not done for good unfortunately. All polls currently show that we have enough anti vaxers and alt right conspiracy theorists (in addition to people who just won’t get the vaccine for whatever reason) that we won’t hit full herd immunity via the vaccine. And even if we did, herd immunity doesn’t mean full immunity. You could, for instance, be vaccinated and still contract the virus you would likely just have a very very mild case (however in the meantime you could still spread it). As such, there will likely be enough tertiary transmission that eventually we will see new variants that we need to develop a vaccine against (similar to what happened with the flu).
That being said, we fortunately are able to develop vaccines much rapidly now due to the RNA technology, so any new strain that needs a vaccine should hopefully only have about a month or two of going unchecked before they can roll out a new vaccine for it. Whether social distancing measures need to be re-enacted during that time, who knows.
TLDR: based on science, we likely will have random spikes of a new covid variant over the next decade or so, but hopefully the ability to quickly develop a new vaccine will prevent any of those new unvaccinated strains from becoming extremely widespread. |
