I camped him once, and for me it was 1/4. I think 25% is a good expectation to have.
He is camped almost around the clock. Although one Saturday afternoon a few weeks ago I ran through Qeynos Hills and he was up with no one at this spawn. That was stunning to see.
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[druid] briscoe (human) <rampage>
[Sun Jan 31 21:43:23 2016] Kerafyrm was hit by non-melee for 94 points of damage.
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