Seems to be about 1 in 20 to 1 in 30, which is pretty low compared to live rates. Spoke with a shaman named Purdii today who was doing it, who corroborates the rate.
Think my 37ish kills was just bad luck.
I'll see if I can get a better source for the pre-nerf live drop rates, other than my own personal experience and experience of others.
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