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Old 11-23-2019, 05:05 AM
Glasken Glasken is offline
Sarnak

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Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: A sunless room.
Posts: 349
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Latest drop info on Teal:

25 hours between Manastone drop (1am PST Nov22nd to 2am PST Nov23rd)

Spawns in order:
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye Stone

EE Spawn chance: 52.9%
Manastone Drop Chance: 3.7%
Total data points: 50

From this we can infer a real spawn chance of 50%, and a drop rate of 5%, if we assume observed rate as being abnormally low, or 2.5% if the drop was abnormally high.

As I move to #1 on the list, I look forward to the numbers backing up my hypothesis that the devs halved the drop rate when the servers split.

And now my watch begins.
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-Glasken, coming out of retirement for Green99
Last edited by Glasken; 11-23-2019 at 05:23 AM..