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Old 12-06-2019, 12:39 PM
WizardEQ WizardEQ is offline
Sarnak

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Join Date: May 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erati [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
theres a couple data points for you in here

https://www.project1999.com/forums/s...d.php?t=342763
From this data, the probability that a manastone drops withing any 28 minute period is (5/152) or 3.3%, not the 5% previously stated.

If we do the calculation again, we get (1-0.033)^(53*60/28) = 2.2% chance.

So there is a 1-in-45 chance of a manastone NOT dropping in any 53 hour period.