This does make me wonder what the unluckiest person in p99 history has been as far as the time to get a drop / expected time to get a drop. Given the number of things people camp, some poor unfortunate soul has probably spent hundreds of hours trying to get something that is supposed to drop all the time.
For me, the two lowest probability events I can remember (due to their pain, there's probably been some worse ones that aren't as noticeable) are my Iksar Berserker Club and my Coldain Ring 9 shell. Iksar Berserker Club as a rite of passage camp for Auld Lang Syne, since its the best weapon available at the level range with guild level limits on gear. Its a 2% drop rate every 18 minutes, I camped it over 24 hours with no drop.
The coldain ring 9 shell is a 9% drop rate off of sirens, they flow like water if you can get a team killing one of the siren temples. At the time though, ALS didn't really have experience with SG, and it was just me and a torp shaman trying to get shells for shawl 7/ring 9. Worked out how to duo sirens around the east temple perimeter, took forever to get the shells to drop since we probably wiped on 1/3 of the attempts, and we killed like 20 of them with no shells at all which is just crazy looking at how often they drop with a larger sample size.
On the flip side, I got Rotting Skelly in an hour and accidentally got the platinum ring off Gynok Molkor when he aggroed me through the door in befallen when I went there to practice lockpicking. Never did get an Iksar Berserker Club, but traded the ring to an ALS shaman for theirs.
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