I've been leveling a monk, didn't start to see mend even work until 30-40 skill. I'm now up to 67 and I'd say its like 5-6 out of 10. I also use sneak a lot to do faction work (iksar monk) and at 60 skill it is still around 50% if I'm lucky. At low skill (20-30) I would run into streaks where I would get like 12 successful sneaks in a row but then bomb out for 20 failures in a row so it wasn't like it was reliable at all and most of the time it was at least 4 fails to get a success.
Maybe there is a difference with racial skills but I'm not getting anything like OP so his guess about all skills being too good at level 20-30 points is easily proved wrong. Also running a test with 20 data points is pretty much garbage, get at least 100 to even show that something might need looked at. We all know this game can be super streaky, maybe you have something with racial skills but at least get some good data going and then back that up with in era evidence saying what you are seeing isn't the way it was on live.
I played a rogue on live and 50% at lvl 8-10 sounds about right to me but who cares about what I remember right?
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