For a new player probably worrying about BIS isn't an issue.
Realistically if you are trying to have the most hps per level with mediocre gear an ogre is a fine path; possibly the best one. You can stam cap any race with NTOV dragon loot but that's not for everyone (some people don't raid at all). Likewise I used to think Vindi was a casual guild target but it's the new mini-game for top tier raiders. An ogre can cap stamina with crusty armor and a shaman buff.
A dwarf or barbarian with points in stamina is also a nice platform for a new player. Getting stuck and not understanding the faction system are probably the leading causes of new player death. Being a gigantic wall of evil will make these two things painfully clear. At least finding your corpse is pretty easy with an ogre.
And yes, I know there are aspects of warrior'ing not just involving all the hps. Dex is important too. I still think having the most hps/level opens you up to making other decisions though. Plus proc gambling is fine when your game is casual...get someone to root stuff and help you out a bit. Whatever the race pick you gotta LOVE looking at it (so go with whatever you want) because it's a long road ahead even leveling to 50; a serious accomplishment for a newer player who might even find this game boring.
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