2022
No reason to think that Dems learn how to campaign in the next two years. "White people suck" is not a great branding message when you consider who actually shows up at the polls. Most people are too stupid to realize Joe Biden has ZERO to do with inflation as it is today. But Republicans are smart enough to campaign on it anyway. Republicans take House and Senate in 2022.
2024
The prima facie conflict between progressive climate policy and a responsible energy policy finally comes home to roost. It's perfectly reasonable to "pump more" in the short term and look to ween in the long term, but the electorate and illiberal left are too stupid. Democrats have not found a way to convince the retards that both things are both doable and necessary. At this point perceived failures on this front will 100% be Biden's fault. Republican President in 2024.
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