Quote:
Originally Posted by bcbrown
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If you get two heads, you did not get the average.
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Yeah you still don't get it. I am not sure how much simpler I can make it. You need to listen please. I can only hope you are just messing with me like you have done in the past when you can't admit you are wrong.
Average Dataset = 1 full set of weapon swings in a single fight.
Dual wielding 1h 11/18 weapons gives you twice as much weapon swing data in one fight compared to a 29/30 2h weapon. That is the equivalent of two fights worth of 29/30 2h swing data.
Tails = under average dataset
Heads = over average dataset
Tails + Tails = under average dataset
Tail + heads = average dataset
Heads + Tails = average dataset
Heads + Heads = above average dataset
You have a 75% chance to get average or above average damage when you have 2 average datasets. Dual wielding 11/18 weapons gives you the equivalent of two 29/30 2h average datasets in a single fight.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bcbrown
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It is in fact more likely to get the exact average in a small data set than a large data set. If you flip two coins there is a 50% chance of the exact average. If you flip four coins there is a 25% chance of the exact average. If you flip 10 coins there is a 0.9% chance of the exact average.
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When I said small dataset I didn't mean 2 coin flips. I was talking about 1 full fight worth of swings, which can be hundreds of swings. Tens of thousands of swings is going to be closer to the average than 100 swings. This is really simple stuff.