Quote:
Originally Posted by Handull
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One important thing to look at is how long this server has been running for.
Flip a coin 8 times, you'd expect to get at least one heads and one tails (ie you won't likely see a streak of 8 of the same outcome). Flip a coin 1000 times, you have a pretty good shot of at some point over that 1000 to see a streak of 8 heads or 8 tails in a row.
If you ask people to imagine they flipped a coin 20 times and to make up the results (asking someone to make a randomized distribution), most people will avoid longer streaks of the same result, even though statistically they aren't unlikely.
The last thing to consider is that the people who get the bad luck of not getting a spawn over X hours will likely be more vocal about their failure than the person who just found the mob up randomly, or got a spawn in only a short period of time. So just by browsing the forums it would sound like tons of people have this bad luck, but there are just as many who have good luck and don't post about it.
And like Ele said, each spawn is an independent event. Though don't give up, cause then you'll never get it.
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Posts like this are such a great read. That was excellent.