Worth a read:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...arios.html#box
Best Current Estimate from CDC of COVID IFR
Quote:
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Originally Posted by CDC
COVID Infection Fatality Rate (if you get it, what is your chance of dying)
0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054
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Then compare it to flu IFR by age range from
https://www.statista.com/statistics/...-by-age-group/
If 1 million school kids get COVID, 30 will die.
If 1 million school kids get Flu, 10 will die
If
every single school aged child (56M total) in America got COVID, 1680 would die.
If
every single school aged child (56M total) in America got Flu, 560 would die.
OPEN SCHOOLS!
If 1 million prime age working people (20-49) got COVID, 200 will die.
If 1 million prime age working people (20-49) got Flu, 20 will die.
If
every single prime age working person (~120M total) got COVID, 24,000 will die.
If
every single prime age working person (~120M total) got Flu, 2,400 will die.
OPEN BUSINESSES!
38,000 people die every year in car accidents, yet we still drive cars?
Absolute worst POSSIBLE case scenario (i.e. everyone gets it) of opening schools and businesses is less deaths than people who die in car accidents annually.
The people that are dying are old and have comorbidities. So let's protect the elderly and those with comorbidities. This comes down to the local level of how people run retirement homes and individual decisions of at-risk people.
Pretty straight forward.
But hey... if all the schoolkids and working people get it, won't we have herd immunity? Food for thought. We'll still have 300,000 dying every year of obesity and 38,000 from cars, but much lower COVID deaths.