The relationship between AC and minimum hits is not immediately clear. While minimum hits generally increase with AC, there is noticeable fluctuation between AC 217 and 411. But this variability may stem from limited data points rather than a lack of underlying effects (i.e., a lack of statistical power).
In contrast, the trend in damage reduction is more straightforward. Eyeballing the data suggests no meaningful difference between AC 217 and 386. However, there is possibly a significant difference between AC 200 and 217, and again between AC 386 and 411 (when a shield is used).
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