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  #1  
Old 12-27-2019, 04:38 PM
Tecmos Deception Tecmos Deception is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isomorphic [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Evidence?
It's everywhere. There are simply too many streaks in all sorts of p99 activities given overall rates. I posted on resist streakiness a month or so ago with data if you care to dig a little, but I'm too lazy to provide the link.

Just a rough example for illustration: if p99 rng controlled coin flips, over the course of 10000 flips you'd see about 5000 heads and about 5000 tails. But you'd probably have 50 streaks of 10 instead of the 10 you should have seen based on 50/50 chances of heads vs tails.
  #2  
Old 12-27-2019, 06:58 PM
Isomorphic Isomorphic is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tecmos Deception [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
It's everywhere. There are simply too many streaks in all sorts of p99 activities given overall rates. I posted on resist streakiness a month or so ago with data if you care to dig a little, but I'm too lazy to provide the link.

Just a rough example for illustration: if p99 rng controlled coin flips, over the course of 10000 flips you'd see about 5000 heads and about 5000 tails. But you'd probably have 50 streaks of 10 instead of the 10 you should have seen based on 50/50 chances of heads vs tails.
Are you saying that in 10000 coin fips the expected value of the number of times you get heads 10 times in a row is 10 but in EQ you will see 50? If so I have a few questions, are you only considering heads or does 10 tails count as one of these streaks. If we get 11 heads in a row does that count as 2 streaks of 10, counting 1-10 and 2-11. What is the variance of this expected value? How are you determining the expected value of this event in the first place?
Last edited by Isomorphic; 12-27-2019 at 07:01 PM..
  #3  
Old 12-27-2019, 10:29 AM
listur listur is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2019
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Quote:
Imagine being outraged at the randomness of the random number generator. Jesus wept.
I think the issue for a lot of the people is that P1999 specifically lowered the drop rate of this item, didn't they?
  #4  
Old 12-27-2019, 10:35 AM
Wooted Wooted is offline
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When you see 3 TBBs and 5+ daggers, but no common drop, then yes that is what people are complaining about(justified). Clearly, the drop rates are not true to classic.
  #5  
Old 12-27-2019, 10:42 AM
Tierilo Tierilo is offline
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Yeah, when supplier rotting bags but 1 mask has dropped...
  #6  
Old 12-27-2019, 10:47 AM
enjchanter enjchanter is offline
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i wish vulak dropped a token of the robe
id surely have enough for one by now
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  #7  
Old 12-27-2019, 11:05 AM
Tierilo Tierilo is offline
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So tired of hearing its classic for thing that are terrible and then turning around in the same breath and getting kicked with thing like quest exp nerfs...
  #8  
Old 12-27-2019, 11:11 AM
sentinel sentinel is offline
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Or linked items, or shaman pets, etc

Selectively classic
  #9  
Old 12-27-2019, 11:19 AM
waltjig waltjig is offline
Sarnak


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Quote:
Originally Posted by sentinel [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Or linked items, or shaman pets, etc

Selectively classic
You know you don’t have to play, right?
  #10  
Old 12-27-2019, 11:29 AM
turbosilk turbosilk is offline
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The time people spend camping could be spend farming plat to just buy the manastone. Problem solved.

Socialize, make friends, have them help you. Problem solved.
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