16 fucking moonstone rings. nice "RNG"

[axisofebola]

36 rings before a sash dropped. Something is fucky.

[Tankwipe]

Originally Posted by axisofebola [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

36 rings before a sash dropped. Something is fucky.

5 rings before my sash on blue

[Vdaria]

this is why we should have a wiki page where people contribute to drop chances n shit, then we wouldn't have to wonder

[7thGate]

Its tough because you're going to get bias in your typical wiki report rate.

Specifically, the people most likely to update something are the people who are experiencing a run of luck in one direction or another. If you have a 10% drop chance, and 500 people camp an item, having someone in that group go 60 kills without a drop is normal. That person is likely to be very cranky and much more likely to complain somewhere than all the people that took a normal amount of time.

In the other direction, I reported the the drops from my first 20 Harla Dar kills on her wiki page. We got two Torpors in that block. Is the Torpor drop rate 10%? 3%? Who knows? But more importantly, would I have reported anything at all if she never dropped a Torp?

[Vdaria]

you're totally right but I kind of thought if I get nothing but outliers, that should eventually give me a somewhat accurate mean, but the variance would be all screwy, but that should be ok since I'm not talking about variance anyway.

[Vdaria]

you know like for every e.g. -3σ event there's a +3σ event, roughly speaking, and given long enough since it's all approximately normally distributed anyway, the mean should eventually come out even if i'm getting nothing but outliers, it just might take a little longer

[SiP]

YikE