Tserinna broken?

[Brutality]

I've killed Tserrina 32 times now and so far i have seen:
3 staffs
2 Whips
27 symbols...
0 robes
Does she not drop the robe anymore or something? There is no way it should be this rare.

[Brutality]

34
4 staffs
2 whips
28 symbols
0 robes

[Brutality]

got you bro.

[Triiz]

lol.

There was a thread almost identical to this last year. Link

I'll sum it up for you

Originally Posted by Zentile [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

0 Robes in 58 kills now. Did this get patched by chance? I'm starting to give up hope.

To which Nilbog replied

Originally Posted by nilbog [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Nothing has changed about Tserrina's drop rates since Velious was introduced.

That guy never updated his thread to say he got the robe, so I assume he didn't. Telin did post in that thread it's a 1/20 drop but all I've heard are horror stories or complete luck of getting it on the first kill. Good luck OP.

[Nitholias01]

robe dropped 2 or 3 nights ago, so just crazy rare

[Somekid123]

Couple years ago me and buddy needed 2 robes, got them both in 3 kills... yikes

[Siberious]

I also got the robe this year, want to say it was in June, took 18 kills for it.

[smitho1984]

ive seen robes drop as recently as a month ago

[Zentile]

Originally Posted by Triiz [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

That guy never updated his thread to say he got the robe, so I assume he didn't.

Nope, I never saw one. And as you can probably tell, that camp broke me. I ended up taking 3 months off P99 right after and I deleted my Necro when I came back so I would never be tempted to try again.

At a 1 in 20 drop rate, you need to kill her 58 times (what I did) for a 95% chance of getting the robe. Or, to be really sure, you need to kill her 89 times for a 99% chance of getting the robe. Neither of those two are scenarios are supported in any way by data I was able to find from Live.

I hope you have better luck than I did,

Zentile

[Samoht]

Originally Posted by Zentile [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Nope, I never saw one. And as you can probably tell, that camp broke me. I ended up taking 3 months off P99 right after and I deleted my Necro when I came back so I would never be tempted to try again.

At a 1 in 20 drop rate, you need to kill her 58 times (what I did) for a 95% chance of getting the robe. Or, to be really sure, you need to kill her 89 times for a 99% chance of getting the robe. Neither of those two are scenarios are supported in any way by data I was able to find from Live.

I hope you have better luck than I did,

Zentile

TL;DR - gambler's fallacy