(prenerf) Circlet of Shadow Market Speculation

skarlorn · #1 07-31-2017, 02:37 PM

These are currently sitting hard at 10k.

My current analysis is that it's going to take a year or two for these puppies to have any significant change in cost (that's also contingent on Green ServerTM not showing up and crippling the blue pop)

As it stands, CoS was one of the most heavily farmed items on p99. There are probably tens of thousands of these suckers in existence, since everyone knew they'd be much more valuable once Velious dropped.

So if you think about how many of these exist, versus the demand (people who roll alts and the occasional new player who actually gets to a point where they can afford to drop 10k on a single item), it seems like the oversaturation will keep the price from rising any further, barring an artificial market inflation scheme.

The only way CoS will actually go out of existence is when people stop playing the CoS they have banked on EC toon/banker alts will just sit there in pixel purgatory.

tl;dr CoS at 10k. Do you think they will go up far from there?

jolanar · #2 07-31-2017, 02:40 PM

Tens of thousands? That seems unlikely.

One thing is for sure, they price isn't going anywhere but up.

skarlorn · #3 07-31-2017, 02:49 PM

You're right, i just did the math and it couldn't be more than about 5k.

Alanus · #4 07-31-2017, 02:53 PM

It won't go down, that's for sure. Necro is a pretty common class and it's a pretty fundamental necro item.

But with how many were farmed, I doubt that it'll go up all that much for a while.

Darkatar · #5 07-31-2017, 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skarlorn [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

tl;dr CoS at 10k. Do you think they will go up far from there?

I think they'll break 20k after another year

skarlorn · #6 07-31-2017, 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Darkatar [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I think they'll break 20k after another year

nice nice nice

I've got a prenerf CoS myself but just holding onto it on the offchance that i ever make an SK / Necro.

It would be amazing to see them hit this high value. Imagine being able to trade the CoS for a fungi lol

shuklak · #7 07-31-2017, 03:44 PM

One day i hope to pass my cos down to my grandkids.

maskedmelonpai · #8 07-31-2017, 03:47 PM

I got one on red, where it super amazing. maybe it not actually, but gosh it sure seemed that way to me when i seen a ogre with it bound to his movement key warping in an out of spacetime like the Flash. it was pretty cool and reason why I bought one :3

i don't think they go up in price neither unless everyone get tired of not being able to sell them at 10k and just let them in they bank and forget about it.

we need market value driven fixed asset taxes on p99 to correct that sorta behavior.

Cecily · #9 07-31-2017, 04:05 PM

Need Schinkiccarsus' perspective on this.

DayForz · #10 07-31-2017, 05:00 PM

I think it was last weekend I saw an auction of someone trying to sell one for 17k which seemed rather extreme. They do seem to be slowly trending up; seems like most auctions I see with prices are in the 10-12k range. Makes me feel all warm and fuzzy inside that I bought mine for 8k several months ago.