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View Poll Results: Does he
Yes 27 28.13%
No 14 14.58%
George Bush coughed on the towers 55 57.29%
Voters: 96. You may not vote on this poll

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  #2511  
Old 10-31-2020, 12:57 PM
FatherSioux FatherSioux is offline
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Where do you get your data Castle?
  #2512  
Old 10-31-2020, 12:57 PM
Castle2.0 Castle2.0 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Funnii
You have no idea what you're talking about if you think FL will be known on Tuesday night.
Wow, the numbers... the math... my Trumpian brain can't handle it.

I'm gonna write down your prediction. It's too close to call FL on Tuesday night.

Florida was called for Trump at approx 10:55PM on election night. Final score Trump 48.6% to Clinton 47.4%. You think it will be closer?

Your incredible analysis and use of trends/numbers will be noted and your prediction for election night is in.

Thank you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FatherSioux
Where do you get your data Castle?
2 sources. Official numbers coming from Florida Department of State website found here: https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats They lag behind people aggregating directly from counties. See below.

One aggregator gets them directly from county level and posts them much more frequently here: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

I checked the official versus the joesidone aggregator and it's always spot on, but instead of updating a few times, he updates every 20 minutes. Scroll to bottom and under advanced Filter by vote type: All (in-person and vote by mail)

Joeisdone aggregator is at 97,739 D Lead at this moment. Florida DoS official has old data from 11:10AM @ 113,078 D lead. We've seen a 39,000-50,000 shift daily towards R over the past few days. It's gonna be 50-100K D lead by election day, and R turnout is always bigger in FL on election day. Hence Trump going from -96,000 to +133,000 in 2016.
Last edited by Castle2.0; 10-31-2020 at 01:05 PM..
  #2513  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:04 PM
feniin feniin is offline
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Well, considering I've lived in Florida my entire life, I know how this state operates.
  #2514  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:08 PM
Castle2.0 Castle2.0 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NotFunnii
Well, considering I've lived in Florida my entire life, I know how this state operates.
More incisive analysis of the numbers.

I grew up in California. I just KNOW it's gonna be 70-30 Trump. I know how 39.51 million (and declining) people are going to vote from growing up here.

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  #2515  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:10 PM
feniin feniin is offline
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Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
More incisive analysis of the numbers.

I grew up in California. I just KNOW it's gonna be 70-30 Trump. I know how 39.51 million (and declining) people are going to vote from growing up here.

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You may want to visit your local emergency room. I think you're having an aneurysm.
  #2516  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:15 PM
Castle2.0 Castle2.0 is offline
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No I just believe "science is real." The experts I have surrounded myself with agree with me. And you must believe the experts. They happen to all be women too, and so you must doubly believe them because we believe all women and trust the experts, that the science is real, and that science is my baseless, numberless opinion.

Joking aside, thanks for your prediction, and I'm sure you have some great analysis of the numbers, you just don't want to share at this time.

Let's chat again ~11PM Nov 3.
  #2517  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:17 PM
feniin feniin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
No I just believe "science is real." The experts I have surrounded myself with agree with me. And you must believe the experts. They happen to all be women too, and so you must doubly believe them because we believe all women and trust the experts, that the science is real, and that science is my baseless, numberless opinion.

Joking aside, thanks for your prediction, and I'm sure you have some great analysis of the numbers, you just don't want to share at this time.

Let's chat again ~11PM Nov 3.
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  #2518  
Old 10-31-2020, 01:20 PM
Woke Locc Woke Locc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FatherSioux [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Where do you get your data Castle?
The pictures come from freerepublic.

Hilarious website
  #2519  
Old 10-31-2020, 03:39 PM
BlackBellamy BlackBellamy is offline
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IF the election was held today AND the current polls are wrong to the same margin as in 2016, then the Electoral College would break Trump 279 - Biden 259.

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  #2520  
Old 10-31-2020, 03:56 PM
BlackBellamy BlackBellamy is offline
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You can't make this up.

Obama is looking for Joe Biden. Where is he? No one knows.

Call him again Barry!

https://imgur.com/8WurLnX.mp4
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