Explain drop rarity?

[Rodeojones1979]

Good morning, team,

Can someone explain to me how to interpret the drop rarity as seen on the p99 Wiki? Take Sentient Armor for example. Under A Suit of Sentient Armor, each peice is listed as:

(Rare) [1] 1x 75% (8%)

I interpreted this as any one of the armor peices drops 8% of the time. But I spent a couple hours trying to farm them last night and didn't see a single one drop. It felt silly! I certainly could have bought a whole set from the takings of just plat farming elsewhere.

Can someone explain this for me? Thanks!

[Qtip]

E*=*mc2. Ive said to much... For more information. Contact your contact.

[Jimjam]

75% of the time the mob will drop X1 item from its loot list [1], with an 8% chance this item will be the one dropped.


Think of black bears.

50% of the time They may drop one of:
- ruined 50%
- Lq 35%
- Mq 10% OR
- Hq 5%

AND

100% of the time they may drop two of:
- bear meat 50%
- nothing 50%

(Ie 25% nothing, 50% 1 bear meat, 25% 2 bear meat)

And 50% of the time they may drop:
-chunk of meat 100%

(Ie half the time they always drop a chunk of meat)

Or that is something like how it works...

So the hq bear skin would be [1] 1x50% (5%)

[Teppler]

Each drop is less than 1% chance for that armor according to the site I use.

[Legidias]

RNG so you might see 5 pieces drop in a row, or more likely 500 suits with 0 drops

[Cecily]

The gambler’s fallacy informs us that our probability of a specific result is directly proportional to number of attempts in games of chance (EQ), provided the data set was properly encoded. A paucity of data skews the results to be statistically relevant by 3 or more standard deviations.

[fadetree]

^ Truth.

[Rodeojones1979]

Originally Posted by Cecily [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

The gambler’s fallacy informs us that our probability of a specific result is directly proportional to number of attempts in games of chance (EQ), provided the data set was properly encoded. A paucity of data skews the results to be statistically relevant by 3 or more standard deviations.

This is definitely the case, but it did feel like the drop rate was lower than what is documented on P99.

Teppler, what site are you using?

[Muggens]

Dont think about drop rates, just go try get ur drops and have a positive belief u will get it. Ive never spent a long time on a camp

[Rodeojones1979]

Originally Posted by Muggens [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Dont think about drop rates, just go try get ur drops and have a positive belief u will get it. Ive never spent a long time on a camp

This is correct.