Possible for Ukraine to beat back Russia?

[Dolalin]

Putin has seen his nuclear scaremongering work. Everyone thinks he's a madman with his finger on the trigger and NATO won't get involved directly.

I think cowing to these threats is a mistake. I think it's emboldened him.

What happens in a few days or weeks when Russia starts running out of money and resources? Putin has no way out of this. Ukraine is now do or die for him. If he loses he's finished, personally, probably with a bullet to the head.

His only trump card left is his nukes.

I've seen it suggested he could try a test detonation up in the North Sea, or a tactical nuke somewhere in Ukraine, just to up the ante with shock and awe. I believe this is possible. When dictators are cornered, all they can do is escalate further. That's his only survival path right now.

That being said, I also read the leaked FSB analysis that's been going around, and it talks down the Russian nuclear arsenal as probably mostly mothballed and in disrepair. The plutonium cores need to be replaced every 10 years and the odds this maintenance has been kept up for the whole fleet is laughable. Putin also does not have a big red button to press -- there is a chain of command all the way down.

So I believe the best course of action here is to call his bluff on the nukes. Give the Ukrainians absolutely everything they ask for, and make clear to Putin that if he escalates with nukes in any way, NATO will move in to Ukraine.

Probably the happy path now is for a palace coup and that bullet to come quickly.

[Jibartik]

I cant imagine if a nuke goes off that the world wont say, thats it lets take russia.

[Jibartik]

Originally Posted by Gustoo [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Refugees are easy to deal with when they are welcome.

nobody is welcome after the parade is over.

[Reiwa]

Originally Posted by Dolalin [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Supposedly the Polish govt is going to get a backfill of F16's from the Americans if they give their old MiGs to the Ukrainians. This is now in the works at the highest levels. Ukraine should get their planes soon.

Has Russia established air superiority over all of Ukraine or even the conflict zones?

Like where is the goalpost? I actively dislike reading lies.

[Jibartik]

That's 1 ghost of kiev per.

[BlackBellamy]

Originally Posted by Dolalin [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Putin has no way out of this.

His only trump card left is his nukes.

So I believe the best course of action here is to call his bluff on the nukes.

The best course of action is buy the dip! You want to dump everything into options right now. If you're wrong you won't have to pay because well nuclear fucking holocaust. A big glowing margin call!

Professional analysts agree!!!

[You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

A 10% chance of civilization-ending global nuclear war within the next 12 months.

Stay bullish!

[Jibartik]

I cant tell if that is a picture of my erection or a graph.

[BlackBellamy]

I have been ignoring existential risk as a factor in my investment strategy. I feel that's prudent for a growing a stable portfolio and is a proper risk-mitigation effort. I have adopted that strategy ever since I ate a bunch of mushrooms and realized that my life was about as insignificant as the grain of sand I was looking at and also talking to and decided to dump all my resources into a Czechoslovakian furniture cleaning cooperative.

[Elizondo]

Let's start a World War over a country nobody cares about

Don't think that has ever happened before. I could be wrong tho

[Jibartik]

I couldnt find poland on a map of poland.