Quote:
Originally Posted by cd288
[You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I didn't really find it relevant to the specific subject of whether new players on Teal are unique new players or if they are duplicates of Green players since both servers declined on the day (everyone has been arguing within the context of a Teal increase and Green decrease and that the Green decrease and Teal increase shows that people are switching from Green and not boxing on both, so it didn't seem relevant within the specific context of what people have been discussing). But if you'd like to offer why 11/11 should be included, I'm all ears.
|
It is relevant because a day in which both servers lose players is still a data point. You have no idea whether or not Green actually had 43 players choose not to play on 11/11 vesus 11/10, or had 23 players choose not to play and 20 players to switch to Teal (which had 56 players from 11/10 choose not to play in this scenario, instead of 36 in the non-switching scenario). Trying to understand which is which involves a bunch of other assumptions. For instance, if the player base of Teal is slightly more casual and fled Green to find spawns, maybe they'll have a bigger drop off between a weekend and a workday than Green will. Or maybe the reverse is true, and a bunch of casuals ditched Teal and the drop off was not as bad as it could have been because a bunch of green boxers showed up. Trying to draw a conclusion from a single interval is folly.
The average population for Green for the 5 days preceeding the split was 2272. The average combined population from 11/3 onwards is 2478. This is an increase of 200, if we say half were waiting for things to die down, then that's about 100 instances of boxing, but up to 200 if all the extra pop is boxing. If instead of 11/3 (which will double count people who started on Green that day and switched to Teal later), we start on 11/4, it's 2408. So it'd be a total increase of 130. Again how you break that down to boxing/not-boxing depends on if you think it compelling that people were waiting to play or not.
But for the boxing count to be over 200 (i.e. about 1/5 of teal), you'd start having to assume that a bunch of people are also fleeing the two servers. We wont know that until the Admins start releasing more specific stats.