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  #691  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:03 PM
Nutsax Nutsax is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wagorf [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Another member of Trainquish who has poor reading comprehension. If you are too stupid to grasp that winning 4 out 5 races is not "equal chance" then I certainly do not trust any of your "logic".

This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal.
Probability of A occuring 20 time(s) = 0.50^20 = .00000095367431640625or about 1 in 1,000,000.out of it.

If you don't understand an argument please do what Remen does and star out of it.
This is the dumbest statistical theory I've ever seen. Did you even go to college? Stats 101?

When outcome is only A or B, the chance of A occurring 20 times in a row = 0.50^20 --> This is applicable only if the chance of A or B occurring is EQUAL, such as flipping a coin. In EQ racing (with outcome = Guild A or Guild B getting FTE) , chance of A and chance of B getting FTE is not the same.[/QUOTE]

Another Trainquish member who struggles with reading comprehension.....

From what I wrote,"This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal."

This is probability theory not statistics, you can't read but are calling me dumb LOL.
  #692  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:07 PM
Nutsax Nutsax is offline
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Double post for clarity.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wagorf [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Another member of Trainquish who has poor reading comprehension. If you are too stupid to grasp that winning 4 out 5 races is not "equal chance" then I certainly do not trust any of your "logic".

This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal.
Probability of A occuring 20 time(s) = 0.50^20 = .00000095367431640625or about 1 in 1,000,000.out of it.

If you don't understand an argument please do what Remen does and stay out of it.
Quote:
This is the dumbest statistical theory I've ever seen. Did you even go to college? Stats 101?

When outcome is only A or B, the chance of A occurring 20 times in a row = 0.50^20 --> This is applicable only if the chance of A or B occurring is EQUAL, such as flipping a coin. In EQ racing (with outcome = Guild A or Guild B getting FTE) , chance of A and chance of B getting FTE is not the same.
Another Trainquish member who struggles with reading comprehension.....

From what I wrote,"This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal."

This is probability theory not statistics, you can't read but are calling me dumb LOL.
  #693  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:07 PM
Samoht Samoht is offline
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^ when you explain it 100 times but the idiot still pretends they were right
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Originally Posted by Alarti0001 View Post
Also its pretty hard not to post after you.. not because you have a stimulating(sic), but because you are constantly patrolling RnF and filling it with your spam.
  #694  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:15 PM
Tunabros Tunabros is offline
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do people even have fun on blue anymore
  #695  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:23 PM
Nutsax Nutsax is offline
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I am attempting to help Dumb and Dumber understand because they lack critical education in reading and math skills.

In my estimate P(Trainquish wins)= .80 and P(Riot wins)= .20 for each independent race.

The probability that Trainquish wins 20 times in a row using this estimate is 1 in 100.

Now if we estimate Tainquish and Riot win equal amounts of races, the probability that Trainquish wins 20 times in a row is 1 in 1,000,000

What happened on the 21st race, Trainquish was observed not trying to win the race?
  #696  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:34 PM
Samoht Samoht is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nutsax [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
In my estimate P(Trainquish wins)= .80 and P(Riot wins)= .20 for each independent race.
These numbers have no basis in reality. Just like your "math" degree.
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Originally Posted by Alarti0001 View Post
Also its pretty hard not to post after you.. not because you have a stimulating(sic), but because you are constantly patrolling RnF and filling it with your spam.
  #697  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:50 PM
Nutsax Nutsax is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Samoht [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
These numbers have no basis in reality. Just like your "math" degree.
Sure they do, prior to cheaters scripting Trainquish didn't win 80% of races in Kael.
  #698  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:50 PM
Nibblewitz Nibblewitz is offline
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Riot getting 20% is quite generous. No wonder they're done.
  #699  
Old 08-31-2021, 11:53 PM
Nutsax Nutsax is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nibblewitz [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Riot getting 20% is quite generous. No wonder they're done.
What happened on the 21st race, Trainquish was observed not trying to win the race?
  #700  
Old 09-01-2021, 12:01 AM
Drakborn Drakborn is offline
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UN-DXJSBEMI
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