#691
|
||||
|
Quote:
When outcome is only A or B, the chance of A occurring 20 times in a row = 0.50^20 --> This is applicable only if the chance of A or B occurring is EQUAL, such as flipping a coin. In EQ racing (with outcome = Guild A or Guild B getting FTE) , chance of A and chance of B getting FTE is not the same.[/QUOTE] Another Trainquish member who struggles with reading comprehension..... From what I wrote,"This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal." This is probability theory not statistics, you can't read but are calling me dumb LOL. | |||
|
#692
|
|||||
|
Double post for clarity.
Quote:
Quote:
From what I wrote,"This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal." This is probability theory not statistics, you can't read but are calling me dumb LOL. | ||||
|
#693
|
|||
|
^ when you explain it 100 times but the idiot still pretends they were right
| ||
|
#694
|
|||
|
do people even have fun on blue anymore
| ||
|
#695
|
|||
|
I am attempting to help Dumb and Dumber understand because they lack critical education in reading and math skills.
In my estimate P(Trainquish wins)= .80 and P(Riot wins)= .20 for each independent race. The probability that Trainquish wins 20 times in a row using this estimate is 1 in 100. Now if we estimate Tainquish and Riot win equal amounts of races, the probability that Trainquish wins 20 times in a row is 1 in 1,000,000 What happened on the 21st race, Trainquish was observed not trying to win the race? | ||
|
#696
|
||||
|
Quote:
| |||
|
#698
|
|||
|
Riot getting 20% is quite generous. No wonder they're done.
| ||
|
#700
|
|||
|
| ||
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|