Miscellaneous: Grachnist no longer dropping Shrunken Goblin Skull Earring

[Pan]

Please check. Can provide pre and post patch metrics (large datasets) if required. I'm down maybe 12 or so earrings (given history). Totems, skulls, and glovesglovesgloves dropping normally.

[mrmop520]

my experience is the same, 30-40 grachnists no luck.. only 1 totem and rest gloves

[Knightt]

well going from my experience in camps like this i done my lord pains khukri it took me over 40 hrs for my stone key from the mob droga

imo welcome to everquest )

[Pan]

Originally Posted by Knightt [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

well going from my experience in camps like this i done my lord pains khukri it took me over 40 hrs for my stone key from the mob droga

imo welcome to everquest )

I wouldn't have posted this if I weren't certain that the rng was out of play here.

[Pan]

121 and zero drops. That's statistically impossible (given the previous drop rate).

[Muleworth]

Originally Posted by Pan [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

121 and zero drops. That's statistically impossible (given the previous drop rate).

I take it statistics isn't your strong suit, as it is absolutely possible, and not even extremely unlikely for that matter.

[Pan]

Originally Posted by Muleworth [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I take it statistics isn't your strong suit, as it is absolutely possible, and not even extremely unlikely for that matter.

I didn't say absolutely impossible. I can figure the odds, if you'd like, based on about 15,000 datapoints from my logs. It's infinitesimally unlikely.

[baloen]

I looted the earring yesterday, after about 3 Grachnist kills, was maybe there a couple hours, was surprised, sunk way more time looking for the bandit lord to get a bracer for an alt than I did the earring.

[Pan]

Wow! That's good info and thanks, baloen. Maybe I'll give the fort another look now. Yeah, the bandit lord is a beast to get to spawn in the first place.

Right now, I'm 0/128 on Grachnist kills. My longest dry spell heretofore was 0/24. I suppose it could be a silly rng, but I have to believe that something's changed. I'll check again now, though.

[koros]

If it's a 3% drop rate, then 2.5% of all attempts to get earrings will take that long. That's just unlucky, not even close to statistically impossible.